Liberia vs Malawi: result 0-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification AfricaGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Samuel Kanyon Doe Stadium, Monrovia
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What was the result of Liberia vs Malawi?
Malawi won 0-1 on November 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 78′C. MphasiMalawi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liberia have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Malawi have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | Morocco(away) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Libya(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies |
| Sep 12, 2023 | Ghana(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2023 | South Africa(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | South Africa(away) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2023 | Guinea(home) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jul 16, 2023 | South Africa(home) | 0-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 14, 2023 | Lesotho(home) | 1-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2023 | Comoros(home) | 2-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Seychelles(home) | 2-0 | COSAFA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Liberia score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Malawi score 1.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberia | 0.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Malawi | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liberia sit 3rd in World Cup - Qualification Africa (15 points from 10 matches) and Malawi sit 4th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Liberia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | Malawi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy