Lille vs Sturm Graz: result 3-2 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 11, 2024 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Full time
What was the result of Lille vs Sturm Graz?
Lille won 3-2 on December 11, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 37′O. SahraouiLille
- 45′M. BakkerLille
- 45′O. KiteishviliSturm Graz
- 47′M. BierethSturm Graz
- 81′H. HaraldssonLille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Sturm Graz have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Montpellier(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Bologna(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Rennes(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Nice(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | WSG Wattens(away) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | SCR Altach(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Girona(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Austria Klagenfurt(home) | 7-0 | Bundesliga |
| Nov 9, 2024 | TSV Hartberg(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lille win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sturm Graz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | Lille 1-1 Sturm Graz | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Sturm Graz 0-3 Lille | UEFA Europa Conference League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz score 2.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sturm Graz | 2.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lille sit 7th in UEFA Champions League (16 points from 8 matches) and Sturm Graz sit 30th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lille | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 16 |
| 30 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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