Lille vs Toulouse: result 2-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 5, 2024 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Full time
What was the result of Lille vs Toulouse?
Lille won 2-1 on October 5, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 39′Z. AboukhlalToulouse
- 57′A. GomesLille
- 72′M. BakkerLille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Toulouse have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2024 | Real Madrid(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Le Havre(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Strasbourg(home) | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | Lyon(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Le Havre(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Marseille(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Nice(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lille win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Toulouse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | Toulouse 3-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Lille 1-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Toulouse 0-2 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Lille 2-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Lille 3-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Toulouse 2-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Toulouse score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Toulouse | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lille sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Toulouse sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy