Lille vs Toulouse: result 2-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 14, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
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What was the result of Lille vs Toulouse?
Lille won 2-1 on September 14, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 50′F. MagriToulouse
- 90′N. BentalebLille (pen.)
- 90′E. MbappéLille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Toulouse have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Lorient(away) | 7-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Monaco(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | West Ham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 3-6 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Nice(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Sevilla(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lille win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Toulouse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Toulouse 1-2 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Lille 2-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Toulouse 3-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Lille 1-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Toulouse 0-2 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Lille 2-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Toulouse score 1.1 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Toulouse | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lille sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Toulouse sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy