Lithuania vs Finland: result 2-2 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on March 24, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
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What was the result of Lithuania vs Finland?
Lithuania and Finland drew 2-2 on March 24, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 4′K. KairinenFinland
- 17′J. PohjanpaloFinland (pen.)
- 39′A. KucysLithuania
- 69′G. GineitisLithuania
Official lineup for Lithuania vs Finland
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Lithuania
4-2-3-1- 11A. Kucys
- 13J. Lasickas
- 15G. Gineitis
- 7A. Dolžnikov
- 3E. Utkus
- 8G. Matulevičius
- 20T. Milašius
- 4E. Girdvainis
- 5K. Kažukolovas
- 17P. Širvys
- 1E. Gertmonas
Finland
4-3-3- 21D. Håkans
- 20J. Pohjanpalo
- 7O. Antman
- 6G. Kamara
- 14K. Kairinen
- 8R. Lod
- 18J. Uronen
- 4R. Ivanov
- 15M. Tenho
- 17N. Alho
- 1L. Hrádecký
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lithuania have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Finland have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | Poland(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Kosovo(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Cyprus(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Romania(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Kosovo(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | Malta(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Greece(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 13, 2024 | England(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lithuania score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Finland score 1.1 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lithuania | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Finland | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lithuania sit 5th in World Cup - Qualification Europe (3 points from 8 matches) and Finland sit 3rd (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
| 5 | Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
A question about Lithuania vs Finland?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy