Lithuania vs Serbia: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 1Kick-off on September 7, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Marijampolės futbolo arenos stadionas, Marijampolė
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What was the result of Lithuania vs Serbia?
Serbia won 0-1 on September 7, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 38′D. TadićSerbia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lithuania have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Serbia have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2018 | Poland(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Jun 8, 2018 | Iran(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2018 | Armenia(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Georgia(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Oct 8, 2017 | England(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2018 | Brazil(home) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 22, 2018 | Switzerland(home) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2018 | Costa Rica(away) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Bolivia(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 4, 2018 | Chile(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Lithuania score 0.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Serbia score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lithuania | 0.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Serbia | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy