Liverpool vs Brighton: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Anfield, Liverpool
The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Brighton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Liverpool wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Liverpool (2,310) and Brighton (2,328).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Liverpool vs Brighton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Liverpool
4-2-3-1- 9A. Isak
- 8D. Szoboszlai
- 7F. Wirtz
- 10A. Mac Allister
- 18C. Gakpo
- 29B. Barcola
- 4V. van Dijk
- 5J. Jacquet
- 6M. Kerkez
- 30J. Frimpong
- 1Alisson Becker
Known absences
R. AraújoOut · Muscle injury
Brighton
4-2-3-1- 19C. Kostoulas
- 13P. Groß
- 25D. Gómez
- 29M. De Cuyper
- 26Y. Ayari
- 35M. Yalcouyé
- 21O. Boscagli
- 44L. Vušković
- 24F. Kadıoğlu
- 4P. Struijk
- 1B. Verbruggen
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Brighton have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 3-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Liverpool wins, 0 draws, 2 Brighton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Brighton 2-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Liverpool 3-0 Brighton | FA Cup |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Liverpool 2-0 Brighton | Premier League |
| May 19, 2025 | Brighton 3-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Liverpool 2-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Brighton 2-3 Liverpool | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Brighton vs Liverpool on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Liverpool score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Brighton | 2.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liverpool sit 6th in Premier League (9 points from 5 matches) and Brighton sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
A question about Liverpool vs Brighton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Liverpool vs Brighton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Brighton.
- Where and when is Liverpool vs Brighton played?
- Liverpool vs Brighton is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Anfield, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.