Arsenal vs Everton: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Emirates Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Everton. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?
Arsenal starts as the favourite with a 251-point Elo edge (2,459 vs 2,208).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arsenal vs Everton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arsenal
4-2-3-1- 29K. Havertz
- 8M. Ødegaard
- 7B. Saka
- 41D. Rice
- 49M. Lewis-Skelly
- 20N. Madueke
- 6Gabriel Magalhães
- 33R. Calafiori
- 15E. Konsa
- 4B. White
- 1David Raya
Everton
4-2-3-1- 11T. Barry
- 8K. Dewsbury-Hall
- 37J. Garner
- 45H. Armstrong
- 22B. Johnson
- 10J. Grealish
- 6J. Tarkowski
- 4J. Branthwaite
- 2A. Maitland-Niles
- 5M. Keane
- 1J. Pickford
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Everton have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 4-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Arsenal wins, 2 draws, 0 Everton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Arsenal 2-0 Everton | Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Everton 0-1 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Everton 1-1 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Arsenal 0-0 Everton | Premier League |
| May 19, 2024 | Arsenal 2-1 Everton | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Everton 0-1 Arsenal | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Everton score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Everton | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal sit 2nd in Premier League (15 points from 6 matches) and Everton sit 5th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
A question about Arsenal vs Everton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal vs Everton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Everton.
- Where and when is Arsenal vs Everton played?
- Arsenal vs Everton is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Emirates Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.