Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Liverpool. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fenerbahçe wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
On Elo ratings, Fenerbahçe has 2,175 points and Liverpool 2,291.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1- 19V. Muriqi
- 11M. Greenwood
- 6M. Guendouzi
- 5İ. Yüksek
- 17İ. Kahveci
- 70O. Aydın
- 3A. Brown
- 27Nélson Semedo
- 37M. Škriniar
- 15N. Aké
- 31Ederson
Liverpool
4-2-3-1- 67L. Koumas
- 7F. Wirtz
- 29B. Barcola
- 38R. Gravenberch
- 73R. Ngumoha
- 42T. Nyoni
- 5J. Jacquet
- 30J. Frimpong
- 21K. Tsimikas
- 6M. Kerkez
- 1Alisson Becker
Known absences
R. AraújoOut · Muscle injury
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fenerbahçe have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Liverpool have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 0-6 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turan(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eyüpspor(home) | 8-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 6-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fenerbahçe score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Liverpool | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fenerbahçe sit 28th in UEFA Champions League (1 point from 2 matches) and Liverpool sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Liverpool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 28 | Fenerbahçe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
A question about Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Liverpool.
- Where and when is Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool played?
- Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool is played on November 4, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.