Livingston vs Ayr Utd: result 1-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tony Macaroni Arena, Livingston
Full time
What was the result of Livingston vs Ayr Utd?
Ayr Utd won 1-2 on October 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 8′O. StirtonAyr Utd
- 19′R. MuirheadLivingston (pen.)
- 36′L. McBethAyr Utd
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Livingston win at 61%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Livingston vs Ayr Utd
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Livingston
4-3-3- 19B. van Hoeven
- 9R. Muirhead
- 7T. Sinclair
- 16C. Palmer
- 20E. Danso
- 8S. Pittman
- 26C. Montaño
- 5R. McGowan
- 23Brooklyn Kabongolo
- 22J. Doherty
- 28J. Prior
Ayr Utd
3-4-3- 11R. Taylor
- 7O. Stirton
- 12Olly Whyte
- 33S. McMann
- 20L. McBeth
- 6R. Lyon
- 32D. Watret
- 3L. Dick
- 5K. Holt
- 8L. King
- 1H. Stone
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Livingston have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ayr Utd have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Morton(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Arbroath(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Morton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Livingston wins, 0 draws, 1 Ayr Utd win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2025 | Livingston 5-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Ayr Utd 1-2 Livingston | Championship |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Livingston 0-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Ayr Utd 1-2 Livingston | Championship |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Livingston 2-0 Ayr Utd | League Cup |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Livingston 4-0 Ayr Utd | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Livingston vs Ayr Utd on Apr 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Livingston score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livingston | 1.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Livingston sit 6th in Championship (17 points from 12 matches) and Ayr Utd sit 7th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Livingston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Livingston vs Ayr Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy