Ayr Utd vs Livingston: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Ayr Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Livingston wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,223 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs Livingston?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Ayr Utd (1,653) and Livingston (1,716).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ayr Utd vs Livingston
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ayr Utd
3-4-3- 12Olly Whyte
- 7O. Stirton
- 21E. Walker
- 33S. McMann
- 6R. Lyon
- 32D. Watret
- 20L. McBeth
- 5K. Holt
- 3L. Dick
- 8L. King
- 1H. Stone
Livingston
4-3-3- 9R. Muirhead
- 19B. van Hoeven
- 7T. Sinclair
- 20E. Danso
- 8S. Pittman
- 16C. Palmer
- 23Brooklyn Kabongolo
- 22J. Doherty
- 5R. McGowan
- 4J. Wilkie
- 28J. Prior
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 06:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Livingston have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Partick(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ayr Utd wins, 0 draws, 4 Livingston wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Livingston 1-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Livingston 5-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Ayr Utd 1-2 Livingston | Championship |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Livingston 0-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Ayr Utd 1-2 Livingston | Championship |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Livingston 2-0 Ayr Utd | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Livingston score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Livingston | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayr Utd sit 7th in Championship (12 points from 11 matches) and Livingston sit 6th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Livingston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Ayr Utd vs Livingston?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayr Utd vs Livingston?
- The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Ayr Utd.
- Where and when is Ayr Utd vs Livingston played?
- Ayr Utd vs Livingston is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Somerset Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.