ŁKS Łódź II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 31Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, Łódź
The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź II the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ŁKS Łódź II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate ŁKS Łódź II (1,647) and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ŁKS Łódź II have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Swit(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
ŁKS Łódź II score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ŁKS Łódź II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ŁKS Łódź II sit 18th in III Liga - Group 1 (0 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 16th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 1 |
| 18 | ŁKS Łódź II | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ŁKS Łódź II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
- The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź II the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
- Where and when is ŁKS Łódź II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. played?
- ŁKS Łódź II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. is played on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 12, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsWarta Sieradz
- May 12, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- May 12, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- May 12, 2027Mławianka MławavsOlimpia Zambrów
- May 12, 2027ŁomżavsWidzew II
- May 12, 2027TroszynvsSwit
- May 12, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsWisła Płock II
- May 12, 2027WeszlovsWigry Suwałki