Match

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs ŁKS Łódź II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.ŁKS Łódź II

The Footlab model makes Polonia Lidzbark Warm. the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for ŁKS Łódź II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs ŁKS Łódź II?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (1,666) and ŁKS Łódź II (1,647).

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win46 %
Draw24 %
ŁKS Łódź II win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; ŁKS Łódź II have 1, 2 and 12.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Widzew II(away)1-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(home)2-3III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Wisła Płock II(home)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(away)2-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Swit(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
ŁKS Łódź II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away)3-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Weszlo(home)0-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(away)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 9, 2026Warta Sieradz(home)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 5, 2026Znicz Pruszków(away)1-3Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; ŁKS Łódź II score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.1.21.8310/159/15
ŁKS Łódź II0.92.1010/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 16th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and ŁKS Łódź II sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Polonia Lidzbark Warm.50147141
18ŁKS Łódź II50054110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs ŁKS Łódź II?
The Footlab model makes Polonia Lidzbark Warm. the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for ŁKS Łódź II.
Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs ŁKS Łódź II played?
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs ŁKS Łódź II is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. and ŁKS Łódź II

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