Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs ŁKS Łódź II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Polonia Lidzbark Warm. the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for ŁKS Łódź II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs ŁKS Łódź II?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (1,666) and ŁKS Łódź II (1,647).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; ŁKS Łódź II have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Swit(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; ŁKS Łódź II score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| ŁKS Łódź II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 16th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and ŁKS Łódź II sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 1 |
| 18 | ŁKS Łódź II | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs ŁKS Łódź II?
- The Footlab model makes Polonia Lidzbark Warm. the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for ŁKS Łódź II.
- Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs ŁKS Łódź II played?
- Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs ŁKS Łódź II is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsWeszlo
- Oct 24, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsJagiellonia II
- Oct 24, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsMławianka Mława
- Oct 24, 2026SwitvsTroszyn
- Oct 24, 2026Warta SieradzvsPelikan Łowicz
- Oct 24, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Oct 24, 2026Widzew IIvsŁomża
- Oct 24, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsLechia T. Mazowiecki