Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Wisła Płock II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 31Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, Ząbki
The Footlab model makes Wisła Płock II the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Ząbkovia Ząbki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Wisła Płock II?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,701) and Wisła Płock II (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Wisła Płock II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Wisła Płock II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki 0-1 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Wisła Płock II 2-2 Ząbkovia Ząbki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Wisła Płock II on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ząbkovia Ząbki | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Wisła Płock II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Wisła Płock II sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wisła Płock II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Wisła Płock II?
- The Footlab model makes Wisła Płock II the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Ząbkovia Ząbki.
- Where and when is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Wisła Płock II played?
- Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Wisła Płock II is played on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 12, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsWarta Sieradz
- May 12, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- May 12, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- May 12, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- May 12, 2027Mławianka MławavsOlimpia Zambrów
- May 12, 2027ŁomżavsWidzew II
- May 12, 2027TroszynvsSwit
- May 12, 2027WeszlovsWigry Suwałki