Mławianka Mława vs Olimpia Zambrów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 31Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, Mlawa
The Footlab model makes Mławianka Mława the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Olimpia Zambrów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mławianka Mława vs Olimpia Zambrów?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Mławianka Mława (1,716) and Olimpia Zambrów (1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mławianka Mława have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Olimpia Zambrów have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Mławianka Mława win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Olimpia Zambrów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | Mławianka Mława 0-1 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Olimpia Zambrów 1-1 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 13, 2023 | Mławianka Mława 1-1 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Olimpia Zambrów 3-2 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Mławianka Mława vs Olimpia Zambrów on Mar 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Olimpia Zambrów | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mławianka Mława sit 14th in III Liga - Group 1 (4 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Zambrów sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Olimpia Zambrów | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 14 | Mławianka Mława | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mławianka Mława vs Olimpia Zambrów?
- The Footlab model makes Mławianka Mława the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Olimpia Zambrów.
- Where and when is Mławianka Mława vs Olimpia Zambrów played?
- Mławianka Mława vs Olimpia Zambrów is played on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 12, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsWarta Sieradz
- May 12, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- May 12, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- May 12, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- May 12, 2027ŁomżavsWidzew II
- May 12, 2027TroszynvsSwit
- May 12, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsWisła Płock II
- May 12, 2027WeszlovsWigry Suwałki