Pelikan Łowicz vs Warta Sieradz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 31Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pelikan, Łowicz
The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Pelikan Łowicz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Warta Sieradz?
Warta Sieradz starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pelikan Łowicz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Warta Sieradz have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pelikan Łowicz win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Warta Sieradz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Pelikan Łowicz 1-2 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Warta Sieradz 0-5 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 19, 2024 | Pelikan Łowicz 3-2 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Warta Sieradz 2-0 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Pelikan Łowicz 2-0 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 17, 2022 | Warta Sieradz 2-3 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Pelikan Łowicz vs Warta Sieradz on Mar 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pelikan Łowicz score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelikan Łowicz | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pelikan Łowicz sit 4th in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Warta Sieradz sit 12th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pelikan Łowicz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Warta Sieradz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pelikan Łowicz vs Warta Sieradz?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Pelikan Łowicz.
- Where and when is Pelikan Łowicz vs Warta Sieradz played?
- Pelikan Łowicz vs Warta Sieradz is played on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pelikan, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 12, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- May 12, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- May 12, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- May 12, 2027Mławianka MławavsOlimpia Zambrów
- May 12, 2027ŁomżavsWidzew II
- May 12, 2027TroszynvsSwit
- May 12, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsWisła Płock II
- May 12, 2027WeszlovsWigry Suwałki