Pelikan Łowicz vs Warta Sieradz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 31Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pelikan, Łowicz
The Footlab AI model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Pelikan Łowicz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Warta Sieradz wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,933 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Warta Sieradz?
Warta Sieradz starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,610).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pelikan Łowicz vs Warta Sieradz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pelikan Łowicz
Not enough data to predict the Pelikan Łowicz lineup.
Warta Sieradz
Not enough data to predict the Warta Sieradz lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 10:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pelikan Łowicz have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Warta Sieradz have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pelikan Łowicz wins, 1 draw, 2 Warta Sieradz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Warta Sieradz 2-2 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Pelikan Łowicz 1-2 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Warta Sieradz 0-5 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 19, 2024 | Pelikan Łowicz 3-2 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Warta Sieradz 2-0 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Pelikan Łowicz 2-0 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Sieradz vs Pelikan Łowicz on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pelikan Łowicz score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Sieradz score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelikan Łowicz | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Warta Sieradz | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pelikan Łowicz sit 8th in III Liga - Group 1 (24 points from 15 matches) and Warta Sieradz sit 5th (28 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warta Sieradz | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 28 |
| 8 | Pelikan Łowicz | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 24 |
A question about Pelikan Łowicz vs Warta Sieradz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pelikan Łowicz vs Warta Sieradz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Pelikan Łowicz.
- Where and when is Pelikan Łowicz vs Warta Sieradz played?
- Pelikan Łowicz vs Warta Sieradz is played on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pelikan, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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