Match

ŁKS Łódź vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, Łódź

ŁKS ŁódźPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ŁKS Łódź vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate ŁKS Łódź (1,898) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (1,835).

ŁKS Łódź win53 %
Draw24 %
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ŁKS Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ŁKS Łódź
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Stal Mielec(home)4-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Nieciecza(home)2-1I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)1-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026Polonia Bytom(home)2-1I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)1-1I Liga
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Bytom(away)2-2I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(home)1-0I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)3-0I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 ŁKS Łódź win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 7, 2026ŁKS Łódź 3-2 Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiI Liga
Sep 29, 2025Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 3-0 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga

Last archived meeting: ŁKS Łódź vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki on May 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
ŁKS Łódź1.91.3211/1512/15
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1.11.268/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki53208311
3ŁKS Łódź531110510

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ŁKS Łódź vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
Where and when is ŁKS Łódź vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played?
ŁKS Łódź vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: ŁKS Łódź and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

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