Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Bytom: prediction and stats
I LigaMatchday 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab AI model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ruch Chorzów wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,926 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Bytom?
On Elo ratings, Ruch Chorzów has 1,836 points and Polonia Bytom 1,819.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Bytom
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ruch Chorzów
4-3-3- 21P. Szwedzik
- 10E. Sutherland
- 95D. Szczepan
- 7J. Křišťan
- 20S. Szymański
- 6M. Chrapek
- 3Abraham del Moral
- 28N. Lesniak-Paduch
- 17A. Lukić
- 15M. Konczkowski
- 44J. Wrąbel
Polonia Bytom
4-3-3- 9K. Wojtyra
- 23J. Arak
- 29D. Harwin
- 17K. Wołkowicz
- 14G. Szymusik
- 5B. Mioč
- 30O. Krzyżak
- 77J. Szymański
- 25D. Konieczny
- 13A. Gajgier
- 1W. Banasik
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Polonia Bytom have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-2 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ruch Chorzów wins, 3 draws, 0 Polonia Bytom wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Polonia Bytom 0-0 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Polonia Bytom 0-1 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Polonia Bytom 0-4 Ruch Chorzów | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Ruch Chorzów 1-1 Polonia Bytom | I Liga |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Polonia Bytom 1-2 Ruch Chorzów | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 17, 2024 | Polonia Bytom 1-1 Ruch Chorzów | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów on Sep 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ruch Chorzów score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Bytom score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruch Chorzów | 1.4 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Polonia Bytom | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruch Chorzów sit 5th in I Liga (22 points from 14 matches) and Polonia Bytom sit 3rd (24 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Polonia Bytom | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 20 | 24 |
| 5 | Ruch Chorzów | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 22 |
A question about Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Bytom?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Bytom?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Polonia Bytom.
- Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Bytom played?
- Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Bytom is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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