Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Bytom played?

Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Bytom is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Bytom: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice

Ruch Chorzów

Polonia Bytom

The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Bytom?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Ruch Chorzów (1,862) and Polonia Bytom (1,842).

Ruch Chorzów win44 %

Draw24 %

Polonia Bytom win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Polonia Bytom have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ruch Chorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Miedz Legnica(home)	0-2	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	0-2	I Liga

Polonia Bytom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	2-5	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(home)	2-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 24, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	4-3	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Polonia Bytom win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2026	Polonia Bytom 0-1 Ruch Chorzów	I Liga
Jan 21, 2026	Polonia Bytom 0-4 Ruch Chorzów	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 24, 2025	Ruch Chorzów 1-1 Polonia Bytom	I Liga
Jan 17, 2025	Polonia Bytom 1-2 Ruch Chorzów	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 17, 2024	Polonia Bytom 1-1 Ruch Chorzów	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 14, 2023	Polonia Bytom 1-3 Ruch Chorzów	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ruch Chorzów	1.2	1.2	5	6/15	5/15
Polonia Bytom	2.1	2.3	2	13/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Bytom sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Ruch Chorzów	5	2	1	2	3	5	7
15	Polonia Bytom	5	1	2	2	11	14	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Bytom?: The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Polonia Bytom.
Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Bytom played?: Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Bytom is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.