Puszcza Niepołomice vs Warta Poznań: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, Niepołomice
The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Puszcza Niepołomice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puszcza Niepołomice vs Warta Poznań?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836) and Warta Poznań (1,884).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puszcza Niepołomice have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Warta Poznań have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Warta Poznań win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Puszcza Niepołomice 1-0 Warta Poznań | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Warta Poznań 0-2 Puszcza Niepołomice | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 4, 2020 | Warta Poznań 1-2 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Oct 22, 2019 | Puszcza Niepołomice 0-2 Warta Poznań | I Liga |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Warta Poznań 2-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Aug 11, 2018 | Puszcza Niepołomice 0-1 Warta Poznań | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Warta Poznań on May 12, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Warta Poznań | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th in I Liga (3 points from 5 matches) and Warta Poznań sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warta Poznań | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Warta Poznań?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Puszcza Niepołomice.
- Where and when is Puszcza Niepołomice vs Warta Poznań played?
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs Warta Poznań is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Arka GdyniavsPogoń Siedlce
- Apr 3, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsPolonia Warszawa
- Apr 3, 2027Odra OpolevsNieciecza
- Apr 3, 2027Stal MielecvsLechia Gdansk
- Apr 3, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Apr 3, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsPolonia Bytom
- Apr 3, 2027Stal RzeszówvsMiedz Legnica
- Apr 3, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsPodbeskidzie