Match

Arka Gdynia vs Pogoń Siedlce: prediction and stats

I LigaMatchday 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gdynia

Arka GdyniaPogoń Siedlce

The Footlab AI model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arka Gdynia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,436 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Pogoń Siedlce?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Arka Gdynia (1,861) and Pogoń Siedlce (1,765).

48%26%26%
Arka Gdynia winDrawPogoń Siedlce win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arka Gdynia vs Pogoń Siedlce

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arka Gdynia

4-3-3
  1. 9V. Gutkovskis
  2. 17N. Dzięgielewski
  3. 71J. Kowalski
  1. 28M. Ambrosiewicz
  2. 16Kuba Solecki
  3. 11D. Kocyła
  1. 94D. Gojny
  2. 4M. Komenda
  3. 6K. Lipkowski
  4. 3S. Szota
  1. 33J. Grobelny

Pogoń Siedlce

4-3-3
  1. 9M. Rosołek
  2. 56C. Demianiuk
  3. 21S. Kobusiński
  1. 7D. Szuprytowski
  2. 16B. Poczobut
  3. 31E. Dzięcioł
  1. 4P. Szur
  2. 2K. Miś
  3. 26F. Kendzia
  4. 29Ł. Trepka
  1. 57J. Lemanowicz

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 03:48 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arka Gdynia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Pogoń Siedlce have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arka Gdynia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)3-1I Liga
Nov 3, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)0-0I Liga
Oct 29, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)1-2Cup
Oct 24, 2026Nieciecza(home)3-1I Liga
Oct 18, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)1-2I Liga
Pogoń Siedlce
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)2-1I Liga
Nov 3, 2026Ruch Chorzów(home)1-1I Liga
Oct 28, 2026Tychy 71(away)2-4Cup
Oct 25, 2026Odra Opole(away)1-0I Liga
Oct 18, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)3-4I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Arka Gdynia win, 1 draw, 1 Pogoń Siedlce win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Pogoń Siedlce 2-1 Arka GdyniaI Liga
Apr 26, 2025Pogoń Siedlce 1-1 Arka GdyniaI Liga
Oct 20, 2024Arka Gdynia 2-1 Pogoń SiedlceI Liga

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia on Sep 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arka Gdynia score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Siedlce score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arka Gdynia1.51.439/1510/15
Pogoń Siedlce1.41.549/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arka Gdynia sit 12th in I Liga (18 points from 14 matches) and Pogoń Siedlce sit 10th (19 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Pogoń Siedlce14545171719
12Arka Gdynia14536191718

A question about Arka Gdynia vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arka Gdynia vs Pogoń Siedlce?
The Footlab AI model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Arka Gdynia vs Pogoń Siedlce played?
Arka Gdynia vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arka Gdynia and Pogoń Siedlce