Match

Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, Mielec

Stal MielecLechia Gdansk

The Footlab AI model makes Stal Mielec the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Lechia Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stal Mielec wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,244 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Stal Mielec (1,744) and Lechia Gdansk (1,817).

41%26%33%
Stal Mielec winDrawLechia Gdansk win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Stal Mielec

4-4-1-1
  1. 78K. Cybulski
  1. 32F. Gerbowski
  2. 7M. Cebula
  3. 18P. Wlazło
  4. 19T. Gmur
  5. 23K. Getinger
  1. 44Israel Puerto
  2. 14K. Kościelny
  3. 94B. Kwiecień
  4. 5H. Matynia
  1. 99M. Gostomski

Lechia Gdansk

4-3-3
  1. 7K. Dodaj
  2. 97Vladislav Blănuță
  3. 30J. Mena
  1. 13A. Shakh
  2. 33T. Wójtowicz
  3. 99T. Neugebauer
  1. 21D. Beskorovaynyi
  2. 3D. Malov
  3. 4K. Łopata
  4. 19S. Kopásek
  1. 1A. Holewiński

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:36 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Mielec have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Lechia Gdansk have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Mielec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Ruch Chorzów(home)2-0I Liga
Oct 30, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)1-0I Liga
Oct 24, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)0-0I Liga
Oct 17, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)0-3I Liga
Oct 11, 2026Warta Poznań(home)2-1I Liga
Lechia Gdansk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Polonia Bytom(away)0-1I Liga
Oct 31, 2026Unia Skierniewice(home)3-2I Liga
Oct 28, 2026Jagiellonia(home)0-6Cup
Oct 24, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-2I Liga
Oct 18, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)2-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stal Mielec win, 1 draw, 4 Lechia Gdansk wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Lechia Gdansk 7-1 Stal MielecI Liga
Apr 14, 2025Lechia Gdansk 3-2 Stal MielecEkstraklasa
Oct 5, 2024Stal Mielec 2-1 Lechia GdanskEkstraklasa
May 14, 2023Stal Mielec 0-0 Lechia GdanskEkstraklasa
Oct 30, 2022Lechia Gdansk 1-0 Stal MielecEkstraklasa
May 8, 2022Lechia Gdansk 3-2 Stal MielecEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec on Sep 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Mielec score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Gdansk score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stal Mielec1.52.039/159/15
Lechia Gdansk2.01.6111/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Mielec sit 11th in I Liga (19 points from 14 matches) and Lechia Gdansk sit 4th (22 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Lechia Gdansk14716252222
11Stal Mielec14545192719

A question about Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk?
The Footlab AI model makes Stal Mielec the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Lechia Gdansk.
Where and when is Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk played?
Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Stal Mielec and Lechia Gdansk

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