Where and when is Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk played?

Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, Mielec

Stal Mielec

Lechia Gdansk

The Footlab model makes Stal Mielec the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Lechia Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Stal Mielec (1,821) and Lechia Gdansk (1,850).

Stal Mielec win39 %

Draw26 %

Lechia Gdansk win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Mielec have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Lechia Gdansk have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Mielec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	0-4	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Polonia Bytom(home)	5-2	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	3-3	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	2-1	I Liga

Lechia Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Podbeskidzie(away)	2-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	0-3	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	0-3	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stal Mielec win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Lechia Gdansk win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 14, 2025	Lechia Gdansk 3-2 Stal Mielec	Ekstraklasa
Oct 5, 2024	Stal Mielec 2-1 Lechia Gdansk	Ekstraklasa
May 14, 2023	Stal Mielec 0-0 Lechia Gdansk	Ekstraklasa
Oct 30, 2022	Lechia Gdansk 1-0 Stal Mielec	Ekstraklasa
May 8, 2022	Lechia Gdansk 3-2 Stal Mielec	Ekstraklasa
Nov 20, 2021	Stal Mielec 3-3 Lechia Gdansk	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec on Apr 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Mielec score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stal Mielec	2.1	1.9	0	13/15	12/15
Lechia Gdansk	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Mielec sit 7th in I Liga (8 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Gdansk sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Stal Mielec	5	2	2	1	11	11	8
16	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	1	3	3	9	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk?: The Footlab model makes Stal Mielec the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Lechia Gdansk.
Where and when is Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk played?: Stal Mielec vs Lechia Gdansk is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.