Llanera vs Gernika: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, Llanera
The Footlab AI model makes Llanera the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Gernika. The most likely score is 1-1. If Llanera wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llanera vs Gernika?
On Elo ratings, Llanera has 1,979 points and Gernika 1,886.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Llanera vs Gernika
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Llanera
Not enough data to predict the Llanera lineup.
Gernika
Not enough data to predict the Gernika lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llanera have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Gernika have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Racing Santander II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Llanera wins, 0 draws, 1 Gernika win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gernika 4-0 Llanera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Llanera score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gernika score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llanera | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Gernika | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llanera sit 12th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Gernika sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gernika | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | Llanera | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Llanera vs Gernika?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llanera vs Gernika?
- The Footlab AI model makes Llanera the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Gernika.
- Where and when is Llanera vs Gernika played?
- Llanera vs Gernika is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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- Jan 24, 2027Racing Santander IIvsMarino de Luanco
- Jan 24, 2027Real Madrid IIIvsBasconia
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