Where and when is Llanera vs Gernika played?

Llanera vs Gernika is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Llanera vs Gernika: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, Llanera

Llanera

Gernika

The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Gernika. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Llanera vs Gernika?

Llanera starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,999 vs 1,836).

Llanera win58 %

Draw24 %

Gernika win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llanera have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Gernika have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Llanera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026	Avilés Stadium(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Avilés Stadium(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026	Tuilla(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 25, 2026	Real Titánico(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2

Gernika
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Deportivo Alavés II(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Basconia(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026	Tudelano(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 11, 2026	Amorebieta(away)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 4, 2026	Utebo(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Llanera score 1.9 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gernika score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Llanera	1.9	0.4	11	4/15	7/15
Gernika	1.0	1.5	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Llanera vs Gernika?: The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Gernika.
Where and when is Llanera vs Gernika played?: Llanera vs Gernika is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.