Where and when is Arosa vs Sestao River played?

Arosa vs Sestao River is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arosa vs Sestao River: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa

Arosa

Sestao River

The Footlab model makes Arosa the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sestao River. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arosa vs Sestao River?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Arosa (1,903) and Sestao River (1,892).

Arosa win44 %

Draw27 %

Sestao River win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Sestao River have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arosa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Pontevedra(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Celtiga(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026	Cambados(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Boiro(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026	Barco(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

Sestao River
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 11, 2026	Gimnástica Torrelavega(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Athletic Club II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Athletic Club(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Utebo(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Amorebieta(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Arosa score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sestao River score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arosa	1.7	0.8	7	7/15	5/15
Sestao River	1.0	1.2	3	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arosa vs Sestao River?: The Footlab model makes Arosa the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sestao River.
Where and when is Arosa vs Sestao River played?: Arosa vs Sestao River is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.