Llanes vs Ceares: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San José, Llanes
The Footlab model makes Llanes the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Ceares. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llanes vs Ceares?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Llanes (1,657) and Ceares (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llanes have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Ceares have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | San Martín(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Siero(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Navarro(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lenense(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Llanes win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ceares win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Llanes 0-1 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Ceares 1-2 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Ceares 1-0 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Llanes 1-1 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Ceares 1-2 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Llanes 0-3 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Llanes score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ceares score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llanes | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ceares | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llanes sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (37 points from 34 matches) and Ceares sit 8th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ceares | 34 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 40 | 45 |
| 12 | Llanes | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 44 | 51 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llanes vs Ceares?
- The Footlab model makes Llanes the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Ceares.
- Where and when is Llanes vs Ceares played?
- Llanes vs Ceares is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San José, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.