Llanes vs Ceares: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San José, Llanes
The Footlab AI model makes Llanes the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Ceares. The most likely score is 1-1. If Llanes wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llanes vs Ceares?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Llanes (1,609) and Ceares (1,664).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Llanes vs Ceares
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Llanes
4-3-3- PPablo Prieto
- SSergio Ríos
- AA. Al Moukhtar
- LLuis Piedralba
- MMíchel Secades
- PPablo Maya
- RRafael Felgueroso
- PPelayo Pedrayes
- PPablo Álvarez
- PPacoli
- MM. Kania
Ceares
Not enough data to predict the Ceares lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llanes have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Ceares have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Condal(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lealtad(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mosconia(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | San Martín(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Siero(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Colunga(home) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Llanes wins, 1 draw, 3 Ceares wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Llanes 0-1 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Ceares 1-2 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Ceares 1-0 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Llanes 1-1 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Ceares 1-2 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Llanes 0-3 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Llanes score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ceares score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llanes | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Ceares | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llanes sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Ceares sit 13th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ceares | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 4 |
| 15 | Llanes | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
A question about Llanes vs Ceares?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llanes vs Ceares?
- The Footlab AI model makes Llanes the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Ceares.
- Where and when is Llanes vs Ceares played?
- Llanes vs Ceares is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San José, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.