Sporting Gijón II vs Gijón Industrial: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Escuela de Fútbol de Mareo, Gijón
The Footlab model makes Sporting Gijón II the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 4% for Gijón Industrial. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijón II vs Gijón Industrial?
Sporting Gijón II starts as the favourite with a 299-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijón II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gijón Industrial have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Colunga(home) | 6-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mosconia(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Siero(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Sporting Gijón II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Gijón Industrial win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Gijón Industrial 2-3 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Sporting Gijón II 1-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Sporting Gijón II 5-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Gijón Industrial 0-5 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Sporting Gijón II 3-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Gijón Industrial 1-1 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gijón Industrial vs Sporting Gijón II on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijón II score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gijón Industrial score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón II | 1.9 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Gijón Industrial | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijón II sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (67 points from 34 matches) and Gijón Industrial sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting Gijón II | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 79 | 29 | 67 |
| 14 | Gijón Industrial | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 57 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijón II vs Gijón Industrial?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting Gijón II the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 4% for Gijón Industrial.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijón II vs Gijón Industrial played?
- Sporting Gijón II vs Gijón Industrial is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Escuela de Fútbol de Mareo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.