Llanuwchllyn vs Caersws: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Llanuwchllyn the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Caersws. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llanuwchllyn vs Caersws?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Llanuwchllyn (1,519) and Caersws (1,585).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llanuwchllyn have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Caersws have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bangor 1876(away) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Bala Town(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 6-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Llanuwchllyn score 1.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Caersws score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llanuwchllyn | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Caersws | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llanuwchllyn sit 11th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Caersws sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Caersws | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Llanuwchllyn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llanuwchllyn vs Caersws?
- The Footlab model makes Llanuwchllyn the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Caersws.
- Where and when is Llanuwchllyn vs Caersws played?
- Llanuwchllyn vs Caersws is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.