Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Memorial Playing Fields, Ruthin / Rhuthun, Denbighshire
The Footlab model makes Ruthin Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Penrhyncoch. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Ruthin Town (1,497) and Penrhyncoch (1,540).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruthin Town have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Penrhyncoch have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newtown AFC(away) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ruthin Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Penrhyncoch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | Penrhyncoch 1-1 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Ruthin Town 3-1 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Ruthin Town 0-0 Penrhyncoch | League Cup |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Penrhyncoch 1-3 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Ruthin Town 2-3 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Ruthin Town 2-1 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town on Dec 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ruthin Town score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Penrhyncoch score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruthin Town | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Penrhyncoch | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruthin Town sit 9th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Penrhyncoch sit 15th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ruthin Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Penrhyncoch | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch?
- The Footlab model makes Ruthin Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Penrhyncoch.
- Where and when is Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch played?
- Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Memorial Playing Fields, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.