Llosetense vs Platges Calvià: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal Es Puig, Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Llosetense the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Platges Calvià. The most likely score is 1-1. If Llosetense wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llosetense vs Platges Calvià?
On Elo ratings, Llosetense has 1,840 points and Platges Calvià 1,826.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Llosetense vs Platges Calvià
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Llosetense
Not enough data to predict the Llosetense lineup.
Platges Calvià
Not enough data to predict the Platges Calvià lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llosetense have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Platges Calvià have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Constància(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arenal(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Formentera(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Andratx(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sineu(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Migjorn(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Binissalem(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Llosetense wins, 2 draws, 2 Platges Calvià wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Platges Calvià 2-3 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Llosetense 1-0 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Llosetense 3-4 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Platges Calvià 0-0 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Platges Calvià 2-1 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Llosetense 0-0 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Platges Calvià vs Llosetense on Jan 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Llosetense score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Platges Calvià score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llosetense | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Platges Calvià | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llosetense sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (10 points from 6 matches) and Platges Calvià sit 3rd (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Platges Calvià | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 9 | Llosetense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Llosetense vs Platges Calvià?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llosetense vs Platges Calvià?
- The Footlab AI model makes Llosetense the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Platges Calvià.
- Where and when is Llosetense vs Platges Calvià played?
- Llosetense vs Platges Calvià is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal Es Puig, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.