Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga NacionalApertura - 8Kick-off on September 23, 2017 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca
Full time
What was the result of Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon?
CD Marathon won 0-1 on September 23, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 28′J. VargasCD Marathon
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Lobos Upnfm have 3 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; CD Marathon have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2017 | Vida(home) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2017 | CD Real Sociedad(away) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Platense FC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 3, 2017 | CD Honduras(away) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Real Espana(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2017 | CD Olimpia(home) | 3-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 14, 2017 | CD Honduras(away) | 3-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 10, 2017 | Real Espana(away) | 0-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 3, 2017 | CD Motagua(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Juticalpa(home) | 3-2 | Liga Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Lobos Upnfm score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 7; CD Marathon score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lobos Upnfm | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| CD Marathon | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lobos Upnfm sit 10th in Liga Nacional (2 points from 4 matches) and CD Marathon sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CD Marathon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Lobos Upnfm | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy