Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Gorna Oryahovitsa
The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa (1,554) and Pirin Blagoevgrad (1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1-2 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0-2 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 2-0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
| Mar 22, 2021 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 5-1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
| Sep 21, 2020 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1-2 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa sit 10th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad played?
- Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.