Where and when is Beroe vs Rilski Sportist played?

Beroe vs Rilski Sportist is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Beroe vs Rilski Sportist: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora

Beroe

Rilski Sportist

The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Rilski Sportist. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Beroe vs Rilski Sportist?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Beroe (1,657) and Rilski Sportist (1,582).

Beroe win51 %

Draw27 %

Rilski Sportist win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Rilski Sportist have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Beroe
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Spartak Pleven(home)	3-0	Second League
Aug 14, 2026	Fratria(away)	0-2	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Ludogorets II(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)	0-1	Second League
Jul 24, 2026	Hebar 1918(home)	2-1	Second League

Rilski Sportist
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Montana(home)	2-1	Second League
Aug 15, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)	1-1	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Spartak Pleven(home)	2-2	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Fratria(away)	0-1	Second League
Jul 28, 2026	Ludogorets II(home)	0-1	Second League

How many goals should we expect?

Beroe score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rilski Sportist score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Beroe	1.1	0.9	6	5/15	7/15
Rilski Sportist	1.0	1.2	2	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Beroe sit 11th in Second League (6 points from 4 matches) and Rilski Sportist sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Beroe	4	2	0	2	4	4	6
14	Rilski Sportist	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Rilski Sportist?: The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Rilski Sportist.
Where and when is Beroe vs Rilski Sportist played?: Beroe vs Rilski Sportist is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.