Spartak Pleven vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pleven Stadium, Pleven
The Footlab model makes Spartak Pleven the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Pleven vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Spartak Pleven (1,595) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo (1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Pleven have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marek(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 5-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spartak Pleven win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Spartak Pleven 4-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-2 Spartak Pleven | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0-0 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
| May 8, 2025 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0-0 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Spartak Pleven 2-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| May 26, 2023 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 3-0 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Pleven vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Pleven score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Pleven | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Pleven sit 9th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Spartak Pleven | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Pleven vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Pleven the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo.
- Where and when is Spartak Pleven vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo played?
- Spartak Pleven vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pleven Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.