Match

Vihren vs Marek: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Sandanski

VihrenMarek

The Footlab model makes Vihren the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vihren vs Marek?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Vihren (1,715) and Marek (1,644).

Vihren win63 %
Draw23 %
Marek win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vihren have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Marek have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vihren
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Ludogorets II(away)2-0Second League
Aug 9, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home)1-1Second League
Aug 2, 2026Hebar 1918(away)3-2Second League
Jul 28, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)1-1Second League
Jul 4, 2026Rilski Sportist(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Marek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Dobrudzha(home)4-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Montana(away)0-1Second League
Aug 7, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)0-1Second League
Aug 1, 2026Spartak Pleven(away)1-2Second League
Jul 25, 2026Fratria(away)1-0Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vihren win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Marek win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Marek 1-0 VihrenSecond League
Oct 6, 2025Vihren 2-0 MarekSecond League
Sep 6, 2023Vihren 4-3 MarekCup
May 27, 2023Vihren 1-1 MarekThird League - Southwest
Apr 22, 2023Marek 1-0 VihrenThird League - Southwest
May 29, 2021Marek 2-0 VihrenThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Marek vs Vihren on Apr 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Vihren score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vihren1.51.046/156/15
Marek1.00.974/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vihren sit 6th in Second League (8 points from 4 matches) and Marek sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Vihren4220748
10Marek5203666

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vihren vs Marek?
The Footlab model makes Vihren the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Marek.
Where and when is Vihren vs Marek played?
Vihren vs Marek is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Vihren and Marek

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