Match

Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik

Hebar 1918Nesebar

The Footlab AI model makes Hebar 1918 the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Nesebar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hebar 1918 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Hebar 1918 (1,597) and Nesebar (1,666).

50%26%24%
Hebar 1918 winDrawNesebar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hebar 1918

4-3-3
  1. 19Y. Roemer
  2. 7K. Pavlov
  3. 98I. Mihaylov
  1. 33I. Tilev
  2. 96D. Sadetinov
  3. 84S. Tisovski
  1. 4S. Tsonkov
  2. 55M. Mihaylov
  3. 6M. Georgiev
  4. 17C. Cabo
  1. 1B. Gruev

Nesebar

4-3-3
  1. 77S. Statev
  2. 99Kristiyan Parashkevov
  3. 11Daniel Cabanelas
  1. 8Viktor Kunev
  2. 22R. Ismailov
  3. 10V. Dotsev
  1. 14Dimitar Balinov
  2. 3D. Lastardzhiev
  3. 5P. Dimov
  4. 21S. Pergelov
  1. 13Martin Sheytanov

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:17 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hebar 1918 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nesebar have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hebar 1918
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Sportist Svoge(away)3-1Second League
Oct 4, 2026Yambol 1915(away)5-0Cup
Sep 27, 2026Dobrudzha(home)1-2Second League
Sep 21, 2026Montana(away)5-0Second League
Sep 14, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home)4-1Second League
Nesebar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-0Second League
Oct 4, 2026Rodopa Smolyan(away)3-1Cup
Sep 27, 2026Vihren(away)0-2Second League
Sep 20, 2026Beroe(home)4-3Second League
Sep 15, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)1-1Second League

How many goals should we expect?

Hebar 1918 score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hebar 19182.21.5311/1511/15
Nesebar2.31.449/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hebar 1918 sit 10th in Second League (17 points from 12 matches) and Nesebar sit 7th (18 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Nesebar12534201718
10Hebar 191812525272017

A question about Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar?
The Footlab AI model makes Hebar 1918 the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Nesebar.
Where and when is Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar played?
Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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