Lorient vs Lyon: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient
The Footlab AI model makes Lyon the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Lorient. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lyon wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorient vs Lyon?
Lyon starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (2,137 vs 2,015).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lorient vs Lyon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lorient
3-4-2-1- 42M. Kone
- 17J. Makengo
- 43K. Kouassi
- 8N. Cadiou
- 33G. Bernardeau
- 2A. Georgen
- 10I. Jensen
- 32N. Adjei
- 3M. Talbi
- 20D. Sylla
- 38Y. Mvogo
Lyon
4-2-3-1- 17L. Openda
- 23T. Morton
- 8C. Tolisso
- 7E. Nuamah
- 2M. Bidstrup
- 10P. Šulc
- 20F. Bacher
- 13Z. Athekame
- 16Abner
- 21R. Kluivert
- 1D. Greif
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorient have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Lyon have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lorient wins, 2 draws, 2 Lyon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lyon 2-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Lorient 1-0 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Lorient 0-2 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Lyon 3-3 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Lyon 0-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 7, 2022 | Lorient 3-1 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lorient score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lyon | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorient sit 8th in Ligue 1 (8 points from 6 matches) and Lyon sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Lorient vs Lyon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorient vs Lyon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lyon the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Lorient.
- Where and when is Lorient vs Lyon played?
- Lorient vs Lyon is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.