Estac Troyes vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Estac Troyes. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,985 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Paris Saint Germain?
Paris Saint Germain is a heavy favourite: 2,366 Elo points against 1,947, a 419-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estac Troyes vs Paris Saint Germain
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estac Troyes
4-2-3-1- 20R. Ripart
- 8M. Diop
- 17A. Mille
- 29D. Karim
- 23T. Nkada
- 10M. Ifnaoui
- 6A. Monfray
- 4M. Diaz
- 2L. Maronnier
- 5P. Gozzi
- 33P. Beach
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3- 7K. Kvaratskhelia
- 11M. Akliouche
- 9Ferran Torres
- 87João Neves
- 4Beraldo
- 27Pedro Fernández
- 21L. Hernández
- 33W. Zaïre-Emery
- 2A. Hakimi
- 6I. Zabarnyi
- 39M. Safonov
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 09:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estac Troyes have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Paris Saint Germain have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lens(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Angers(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lille(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 4-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Estac Troyes wins, 1 draw, 5 Paris Saint Germain wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Estac Troyes 1-3 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Paris Saint Germain 4-3 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2022 | Paris Saint Germain 2-2 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Estac Troyes 1-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 3, 2018 | Estac Troyes 0-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 29, 2017 | Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Estac Troyes vs Paris Saint Germain on May 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Estac Troyes score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint Germain score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estac Troyes sit 17th in Ligue 1 (4 points from 7 matches) and Paris Saint Germain sit 2nd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 4 |
A question about Estac Troyes vs Paris Saint Germain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estac Troyes vs Paris Saint Germain?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Estac Troyes.
- Where and when is Estac Troyes vs Paris Saint Germain played?
- Estac Troyes vs Paris Saint Germain is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de l'Aube, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.