Toulouse vs Auxerre: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
The Footlab AI model makes Toulouse the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Auxerre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Toulouse wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Toulouse vs Auxerre?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Toulouse (2,020) and Auxerre (1,987).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Toulouse vs Auxerre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Toulouse
4-2-3-1- 13J. Russell-Rowe
- 23C. Cásseres
- 8T. Jørgensen
- 37Y. Azizi
- 20C. Tengstedt
- 6A. Vossah
- 12C. Tapé
- 3M. McKenzie
- 22R. Messali
- 5S. Koumbassa
- 16G. Restes
Auxerre
3-4-2-1- 9C. Archer
- 10D. Namaso
- 27L. Sy
- 5K. Danois
- 22F. Oppegård
- 8N. Ahamada
- 21R. Faivre
- 92C. Akpa
- 46A. Piedfort
- 4A. Tuanzebe
- 23M. Diop
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toulouse have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Auxerre have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | PAU(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lorient(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Lille(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nice(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toulouse wins, 3 draws, 1 Auxerre win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Toulouse 0-0 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Auxerre 1-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Auxerre 2-2 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Toulouse 2-0 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| May 27, 2023 | Toulouse 1-1 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Auxerre 0-5 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Toulouse score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Auxerre score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Auxerre | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toulouse sit 15th in Ligue 1 (6 points from 6 matches) and Auxerre sit 16th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
A question about Toulouse vs Auxerre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Toulouse vs Auxerre?
- The Footlab AI model makes Toulouse the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Auxerre.
- Where and when is Toulouse vs Auxerre played?
- Toulouse vs Auxerre is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium de Toulouse, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.