Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient
The Footlab AI model makes Lorient the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Stade Brestois 29. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lorient wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Lorient (2,017) and Stade Brestois 29 (1,954).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lorient
3-4-2-1- 18I. Baldé
- 17J. Makengo
- 43K. Kouassi
- 33G. Bernardeau
- 8N. Cadiou
- 77P. Katseris
- 62A. Avom
- 32N. Adjei
- 3M. Talbi
- 20D. Sylla
- 38Y. Mvogo
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1- 19L. Ajorque
- 13J. Chotard
- 8H. Magnetti
- 23K. Doumbia
- 9P. Mboup
- 10G. Versini
- 2B. Locko
- 4G. Lloris
- 71R. Le Guen
- 70K. Lala
- 1E. Selvik
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 07:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorient have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Stade Brestois 29 have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nice(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Monza(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lorient win, 2 draws, 3 Stade Brestois 29 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Lorient 3-3 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Lorient 1-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Lorient 0-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Stade Brestois 29 4-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| May 7, 2023 | Lorient 2-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Stade Brestois 29 vs Lorient on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lorient score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Brestois 29 score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorient sit 12th in Ligue 1 (5 points from 5 matches) and Stade Brestois 29 sit 11th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
A question about Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lorient the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Stade Brestois 29.
- Where and when is Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 played?
- Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.