Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Océane, Le Havre
The Footlab model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Le Havre. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Paris Saint Germain is a heavy favourite: 2,299 Elo points against 1,889 — a 409-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Havre have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Paris Saint Germain have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Laval(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lens(away) | 0-1 | Trophée des Champions |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Super Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Le Havre win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Paris Saint Germain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Le Havre 0-1 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain 3-0 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain 2-1 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Le Havre 1-4 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Paris Saint Germain 3-3 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Le Havre 0-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Le Havre score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint Germain score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Havre sit 14th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Paris Saint Germain sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
- The Footlab model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Le Havre.
- Where and when is Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain played?
- Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Océane, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.