Lille vs Lens: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Lens. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lille wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lille vs Lens?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Lille (2,121) and Lens (2,177).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lille vs Lens
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lille
4-2-3-1- 18A. Ueda
- 6N. Bentaleb
- 17N. Mukau
- 7D. Bakwa
- 10H. Haraldsson
- 21B. André
- 4Alexsandro Ribeiro
- 15R. Perraud
- 22Tiago Santos
- 3N. Ngoy
- 1B. Özer
Lens
3-4-2-1- 11O. Édouard
- 10F. Thauvin
- 14M. Udol
- 27M. Cuisance
- 2R. Aguilar
- 8Y. Titraoui
- 21A. Haidara
- 32K. Antonio
- 25I. Ganiou
- 24J. Gradit
- 40R. Risser
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lens have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lille wins, 1 draw, 1 Lens win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Lille 3-0 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Lens 3-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Lille 1-0 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Lens 0-2 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Lille 2-1 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Lens 1-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lens score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Lens | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lille sit 2nd in Ligue 1 (13 points from 6 matches) and Lens sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Lille vs Lens?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lille vs Lens?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Lens.
- Where and when is Lille vs Lens played?
- Lille vs Lens is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.