Paris FC vs Monaco: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
The Footlab AI model makes Paris FC the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Monaco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paris FC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paris FC vs Monaco?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Paris FC (2,064) and Monaco (2,159).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paris FC vs Monaco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paris FC
4-2-3-1- 9L. Sinayoko
- 33P. Lees-Melou
- 10I. Kebbal
- 7P. Pagis
- 20M. Lopez
- 15L. Koleosho
- 42D. Coppola
- 17A. Camara
- 14H. Traoré
- 31S. Chergui
- 1K. Trapp
Monaco
4-2-3-1- 29Paris Josua Brunner
- 8L. Camara
- 6D. Zakaria
- 10A. Golovin
- 17S. Idumbo-Muzambo
- 37E. Diop
- 15E. Dier
- 72Sadibou Sané
- 2Vanderson
- 20Flávio Nazinho
- 1L. Hrádecký
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 07:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paris FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Monaco have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Nice(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Paris FC wins, 0 draws, 0 Monaco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Paris FC 4-1 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Monaco 0-1 Paris FC | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Paris FC score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Monaco score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Monaco | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paris FC sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (11 points from 5 matches) and Monaco sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
A question about Paris FC vs Monaco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paris FC vs Monaco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris FC the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Monaco.
- Where and when is Paris FC vs Monaco played?
- Paris FC vs Monaco is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jean Bouin, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.