Match

Los Llanos vs Estrella: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Aceró, Los Llanos de Aridane

Los LlanosEstrella

The Footlab model makes Los Llanos the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Estrella. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Los Llanos vs Estrella?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Los Llanos (1,638) and Estrella (1,602).

Los Llanos win49 %
Draw28 %
Estrella win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Llanos have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Estrella have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Los Llanos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Panadería Pulido(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025Tamaraceite(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025Las Palmas II(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025Herbania(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025San Bartolomé(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Estrella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Herbania(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025San Bartolomé(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025Santa Úrsula(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025Buzanada(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025Marino(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Los Llanos win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Estrella win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 2025Estrella 0-0 Los LlanosTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 28, 2024Los Llanos 3-1 EstrellaTercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Estrella vs Los Llanos on Feb 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Los Llanos score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estrella score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Los Llanos0.91.554/158/15
Estrella0.91.057/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Los Llanos vs Estrella?
The Footlab model makes Los Llanos the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Estrella.
Where and when is Los Llanos vs Estrella played?
Los Llanos vs Estrella is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Aceró, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Los Llanos and Estrella

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