San Bartolomé vs Mensajero: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 · Matchday 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé
The Footlab AI model makes Mensajero the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for San Bartolomé. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mensajero wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,699 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Bartolomé vs Mensajero?
Mensajero starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,659).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Bartolomé vs Mensajero
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Bartolomé
Not enough data to predict the San Bartolomé lineup.
Mensajero
Not enough data to predict the Mensajero lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 05:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Mensajero have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Anaza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Marino(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 San Bartolomé win, 3 draws, 1 Mensajero win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mensajero 2-2 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | San Bartolomé 0-0 Mensajero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Mensajero 2-0 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Mensajero 0-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | San Bartolomé 2-2 Mensajero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Mensajero vs San Bartolomé on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mensajero score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Bartolomé | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Mensajero | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Bartolomé sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (10 points from 10 matches) and Mensajero sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mensajero | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 13 |
| 13 | San Bartolomé | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 10 |
A question about San Bartolomé vs Mensajero?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs Mensajero?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mensajero the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for San Bartolomé.
- Where and when is San Bartolomé vs Mensajero played?
- San Bartolomé vs Mensajero is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027San Fernando CDvsLanzarote
- Feb 21, 2027Las Palmas IIIvsVilla Santa Brígida
- Feb 21, 2027MarinovsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Feb 21, 2027Panadería PulidovsLaguna de Duero
- Feb 21, 2027Real Unión de TenerifevsPlayas Sotavento
- Feb 21, 2027Los LlanosvsEstrella
- Feb 21, 2027San MiguelvsAnaza
- Feb 21, 2027Villaverde NortevsTenerife C