Marino vs Unión Sur Yaiza: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)
The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Unión Sur Yaiza. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marino wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,396 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino vs Unión Sur Yaiza?
On Elo ratings, Marino has 1,703 points and Unión Sur Yaiza 1,715.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marino vs Unión Sur Yaiza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marino
Not enough data to predict the Marino lineup.
Unión Sur Yaiza
Not enough data to predict the Unión Sur Yaiza lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 06:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Unión Sur Yaiza have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marino win, 3 draws, 2 Unión Sur Yaiza wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza 2-1 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Marino 0-0 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Unión Sur Yaiza 1-1 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Marino 1-1 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Unión Sur Yaiza 2-1 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Marino 1-0 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Sur Yaiza vs Marino on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marino score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Sur Yaiza score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marino sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (15 points from 10 matches) and Unión Sur Yaiza sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 16 |
| 7 | Marino | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Marino vs Unión Sur Yaiza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino vs Unión Sur Yaiza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Unión Sur Yaiza.
- Where and when is Marino vs Unión Sur Yaiza played?
- Marino vs Unión Sur Yaiza is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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