Los Llanos vs Las Palmas III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Aceró, Los Llanos de Aridane
The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Los Llanos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Llanos vs Las Palmas III?
Las Palmas III starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Llanos have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Las Palmas III have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 4, 2025 | Tamaraceite(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Las Palmas II(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Herbania(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tenisca(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Los Llanos score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas III score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Llanos | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Las Palmas III | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Las Palmas III | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Llanos vs Las Palmas III?
- The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Los Llanos.
- Where and when is Los Llanos vs Las Palmas III played?
- Los Llanos vs Las Palmas III is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Aceró, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026LanzarotevsVilla Santa Brígida
- Dec 13, 2026MarinovsSan Bartolomé
- Dec 13, 2026Panadería PulidovsSan Fernando CD
- Dec 13, 2026Unión Sur YaizavsTenerife C
- Dec 13, 2026EstrellavsMensajero
- Dec 13, 2026Real Unión de TenerifevsVillaverde Norte
- Dec 13, 2026Laguna de DuerovsSan Miguel
- Dec 13, 2026Playas SotaventovsAnaza