Lanzarote vs Villa Santa Brígida: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, Tías
The Footlab model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Villa Santa Brígida. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lanzarote vs Villa Santa Brígida?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Lanzarote (1,782) and Villa Santa Brígida (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lanzarote have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Villa Santa Brígida have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tamaraceite(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Herbania(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Telde(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 1, 2026 | Marino(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lanzarote win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Villa Santa Brígida win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Lanzarote 2-0 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Villa Santa Brígida 2-0 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Lanzarote 4-0 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Villa Santa Brígida 3-2 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Villa Santa Brígida 1-2 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Lanzarote 0-0 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Lanzarote vs Villa Santa Brígida on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lanzarote score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Villa Santa Brígida score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanzarote | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Villa Santa Brígida | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lanzarote sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (48 points from 34 matches) and Villa Santa Brígida sit 8th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Villa Santa Brígida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lanzarote vs Villa Santa Brígida?
- The Footlab model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Villa Santa Brígida.
- Where and when is Lanzarote vs Villa Santa Brígida played?
- Lanzarote vs Villa Santa Brígida is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026MarinovsSan Bartolomé
- Dec 13, 2026Panadería PulidovsSan Fernando CD
- Dec 13, 2026Unión Sur YaizavsTenerife C
- Dec 13, 2026EstrellavsMensajero
- Dec 13, 2026Real Unión de TenerifevsVillaverde Norte
- Dec 13, 2026Laguna de DuerovsSan Miguel
- Dec 13, 2026Los LlanosvsLas Palmas III
- Dec 13, 2026Playas SotaventovsAnaza