Marino vs San Bartolomé: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)
The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for San Bartolomé. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marino wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino vs San Bartolomé?
On Elo ratings, Marino has 1,738 points and San Bartolomé 1,734.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marino vs San Bartolomé
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marino
Not enough data to predict the Marino lineup.
San Bartolomé
Not enough data to predict the San Bartolomé lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; San Bartolomé have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 6-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Marino wins, 1 draw, 2 San Bartolomé wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Marino 1-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | San Bartolomé 2-3 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | San Bartolomé 0-2 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Marino 1-0 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 10, 2024 | San Bartolomé 3-0 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Marino 0-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Marino vs San Bartolomé on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marino score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; San Bartolomé score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| San Bartolomé | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marino sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (7 points from 5 matches) and San Bartolomé sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | San Bartolomé | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | Marino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Marino vs San Bartolomé?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino vs San Bartolomé?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for San Bartolomé.
- Where and when is Marino vs San Bartolomé played?
- Marino vs San Bartolomé is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026LanzarotevsVilla Santa Brígida
- Dec 13, 2026Panadería PulidovsSan Fernando CD
- Dec 13, 2026Unión Sur YaizavsTenerife C
- Dec 13, 2026EstrellavsMensajero
- Dec 13, 2026Real Unión de TenerifevsVillaverde Norte
- Dec 13, 2026Laguna de DuerovsSan Miguel
- Dec 13, 2026Los LlanosvsLas Palmas III
- Dec 13, 2026Playas SotaventovsAnaza