Las Palmas III vs Marino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Marino. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,028 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas III vs Marino?
Las Palmas III starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,698).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Palmas III vs Marino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Palmas III
4-3-3- VVíctor José Socorro Quintana
- HHéctor David Castillo Martín
- AAbian Santos Vergara
- SSamuel Antonio Ramos Linares
- GGabriel Felipe Arrocha
- JJosé Ángel
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- BBrian
- UUssama Ahmed Ouzzani
- ÁÁlvaro Santana
- AAlejandro González Gorrín
Marino
Not enough data to predict the Marino lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 01:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas III have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Marino have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Anaza(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tenerife C(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mensajero(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Las Palmas III wins, 1 draw, 2 Marino wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Las Palmas III 1-1 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Marino 0-1 Las Palmas III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Las Palmas III 2-1 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Marino 2-0 Las Palmas III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 5, 2020 | Marino 2-1 Las Palmas III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Las Palmas III vs Marino on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas III score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Marino score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas III | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Marino | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas III sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (16 points from 10 matches) and Marino sit 7th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Las Palmas III | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Marino | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Las Palmas III vs Marino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas III vs Marino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Marino.
- Where and when is Las Palmas III vs Marino played?
- Las Palmas III vs Marino is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026MensajerovsLanzarote
- Dec 20, 2026San Fernando CDvsLos Llanos
- Dec 20, 2026Panadería PulidovsVilla Santa Brígida
- Dec 20, 2026San BartolomévsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Dec 20, 2026Tenerife CvsEstrella
- Dec 20, 2026San MiguelvsPlayas Sotavento
- Dec 20, 2026AnazavsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Dec 20, 2026Villaverde NortevsLaguna de Duero