Where and when is Las Palmas III vs Marino played?

Las Palmas III vs Marino is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Las Palmas III vs Marino: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas III

Marino

The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Marino. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Palmas III vs Marino?

Las Palmas III starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,704).

Las Palmas III win57 %

Draw24 %

Marino win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas III have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Marino have 0, 10 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Palmas III
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	San Miguel(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Atlético Paso(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Tenisca(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 22, 2026	Panadería Pulido(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	Real Unión de Tenerife(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Marino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 26, 2026	Tenerife(home)	0-6	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Arucas(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 1, 2026	Villa Santa Brígida(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	San Miguel(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Las Palmas III win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Marino win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2026	Las Palmas III 1-1 Marino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 26, 2025	Marino 0-1 Las Palmas III	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Feb 26, 2022	Las Palmas III 2-1 Marino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 16, 2021	Marino 2-0 Las Palmas III	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Jan 5, 2020	Marino 2-1 Las Palmas III	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Las Palmas III vs Marino on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Las Palmas III score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Marino score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Las Palmas III	1.3	1.1	4	8/15	5/15
Marino	0.7	1.5	3	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Las Palmas III sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (54 points from 34 matches) and Marino sit 12th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Las Palmas III	34	15	9	10	58	42	54
12	Marino	34	8	15	11	44	40	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Palmas III vs Marino?: The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Marino.
Where and when is Las Palmas III vs Marino played?: Las Palmas III vs Marino is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.