Where and when is Los Llanos vs Mensajero played?

Los Llanos vs Mensajero is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Aceró, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Los Llanos vs Mensajero: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Aceró, Los Llanos de Aridane

Los Llanos

Mensajero

The Footlab model makes Mensajero the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Los Llanos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Los Llanos vs Mensajero?

Mensajero starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,855 vs 1,634).

Los Llanos win30 %

Draw30 %

Mensajero win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Llanos have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Mensajero have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Los Llanos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Panadería Pulido(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025	Tamaraceite(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025	Las Palmas II(home)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025	Herbania(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025	San Bartolomé(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Mensajero
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Tamaraceite(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 16, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 10, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Arucas(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Villa Santa Brígida(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Los Llanos win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Mensajero win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 15, 2025	Los Llanos 0-2 Mensajero	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 3, 2024	Mensajero 1-0 Los Llanos	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Aug 13, 2024	Los Llanos 0-3 Mensajero	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Los Llanos vs Mensajero on Mar 15, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Los Llanos score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mensajero score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Los Llanos	0.9	1.5	5	4/15	8/15
Mensajero	1.3	0.9	7	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Mensajero	34	18	9	7	51	31	63

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Los Llanos vs Mensajero?: The Footlab model makes Mensajero the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Los Llanos.
Where and when is Los Llanos vs Mensajero played?: Los Llanos vs Mensajero is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Aceró, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.