San Bartolomé vs San Miguel: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé
The Footlab AI model makes San Miguel the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for San Bartolomé. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Miguel wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,242 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Bartolomé vs San Miguel?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate San Bartolomé (1,737) and San Miguel (1,795).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Bartolomé vs San Miguel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Bartolomé
Not enough data to predict the San Bartolomé lineup.
San Miguel
Not enough data to predict the San Miguel lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 11:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; San Miguel have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Anaza(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 San Bartolomé win, 0 draws, 1 San Miguel win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | San Bartolomé 0-3 San Miguel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | San Miguel 1-2 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: San Bartolomé vs San Miguel on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Bartolomé score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; San Miguel score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Bartolomé | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| San Miguel | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Bartolomé sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (10 points from 7 matches) and San Miguel sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | San Miguel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 10 | San Bartolomé | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
A question about San Bartolomé vs San Miguel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs San Miguel?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Miguel the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for San Bartolomé.
- Where and when is San Bartolomé vs San Miguel played?
- San Bartolomé vs San Miguel is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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